Manchester United face losing Paul Pogba for a drastically reduced fee if he is still at the club next year and has not signed a contract extension.
That is according to world-renowned finance expert and new Football Insider columnist Kieran Maguire, speaking after the Frenchman’s outrageous match-winning goal against Fulham on Wednesday evening.
The World Cup-winner has long been linked with a move away from Old Trafford, with his agent Mino Railo telling Tuttosport — via the Manchester Evening News — that “the best solution for all concerned is if he (Pogba) moves in the next window.”
That was in December, and with 10 days remaining in the January transfer window, it looks overwhelmingly unlikely that Pogba, 27, will leave United this season.
According to Maguire, this will cause Pogba’s transfer value to nosedive if he is not sold in the next window.
He told Football Insider: “I think the issue is the remaining time on his contract. If he does go, they could still get a significant fee for him this summer. But if it’s left to drag on to January 2022 then he is in a very, very strong negotiating position.
“If you think back to what happened with Ross Barkley, Manchester City put in a big bid for him with a year to go on his contract and then Chelsea snapped him up six months later. He turned down the chance to leave and then Chelsea got him on a drastically reduced further down the line.
“Once you get into that final year, the value of the player, if he’s not sold in the summer window, does fall rapidly.”
Pogba’s resale value is likely to be lessened further by the financial implications of the Covid-19 pandemic.
A CIEA report found that player value had fallen by 9.6% over the past two windows, with Maguire giving a definite “Yes” when asked if this figure applied to the Premier League.