Thomas Tuchel on sideline looking happy at World Cup trophy on podium right inset
England manager Thomas Tuchel with World Cup trophyImago

Supercomputer releases new prediction on England winning the World Cup after knockout shocks

Oliver Walton

Correspondent AUTHORITY Football journalist with experience at Reach PLC and PA Media; University of Central Lancashire graduate. FOCUS Fan-engagement content and match analysis across the Premier League and Championship. THE INSIGHT Oliver utilises a network of club and industry contacts to deliver verified reporting and fan-first content. He provides the human stories behind the results to ensure fans get the full picture as it happens.

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England's chances of winning the World Cup have decreased after both Germany and the Netherlands were knocked out overnight.

Thomas Tuchel's side progressed to the round of 32 as Group L champions on Saturday with a 2-0 win against Panama.

Croatia were beaten 4-2 in their opening game, while a 0-0 draw with Ghana then raised doubts around the Three Lions' chances of silverware this summer.

If the Three Lions weren't concerned about going out early before the knockout rounds kicked off, they certainly will be now after some early shock results.

Germany lost to Paraguay on penalties on Monday evening, while the Netherlands also suffered a spot-kick defeat to Morocco in the early hours of Tuesday morning.

Opta's supercomputer has now decreased England's chances of lifting the trophy on 19 July in New Jersey.

They are set to face DR Congo in Atlanta on Wednesday afternoon in the round of 32, then could take on one of Mexico or Ecuador in the round of 16.

Opta make new prediction on England winning the World Cup

England will face an African team in a World Cup knockout stage match for just the third time on Wednesday, following previous wins against Cameroon and Senegal.

Opta are currently giving them a 73.9 per cent chance of making the round of 16, with co-hosts Mexico their most likely opponents, as they are backed to beat Ecuador.

Despite previously handing the Three Lions a 10.41 per cent chance of lifting the cup ahead of the knockouts, Opta now believe they have a 9.32 per cent chance.

France's chances have shot up from 19.06 to 22.47 per cent, with a round of 16 tie against Paraguay lined up if they beat Sweden on Tuesday.

Thomas Tuchel on sideline looking happy at World Cup trophy on podium right inset
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Harry Kane nearing another Gary Lineker record ahead of DR Congo clash

Kane became England's all-time record goalscorer at World Cups on Saturday as he doubled their lead against Panama late on.

He overtook Lineker as the record holder, and will close in on another World Cup record of his with a goal or two on Wednesday.

The Three Lions captain can move level with Geoff Hurst on four for knockout goals in the competition for his country with a goal against DR Congo.

Lineker is leading the way on six strikes, so a hat-trick would take Kane level with him ahead of the round of 16.

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