Newcastle United manager Matthias Jaissle on the sidelines / Leeds United manager Daniel Farke watches on from the touchline
Newcastle United fell to defeat against Leeds United at Elland Road.Imago

Supercomputer updates Newcastle's relegation chances after Leeds mauling

Harri Burton

Senior Correspondent AUTHORITY Senior football journalist specialising in refereeing and officiating; former contributor to The Football League Paper, Late Tackle, and the Premier League; University of Derby graduate. FOCUS Refereeing controversies, football finance and governance, PGMOL decisions, and officiating analysis across the Premier League, EFL, and SPFL. THE INSIGHT Harri utilises a network of officiating and industry contacts to deliver verified, expert analysis of refereeing decisions and PGMOL policy. He provides the regulatory clarity behind the controversy to ensure fans get the full picture.

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Matthias Jaissle was given a tough welcome to the Premier League when his Newcastle United side travelled to Elland Road.

Leeds United claimed an impressive 4-1 home win on Monday, 14 September, with Jayden Bogle, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Noah Okafar on target.

Bazoumana Toure grabbed his first Premier League goal, but that was a simply a consolation for the travelling Magpies who had made the 100-mile journey.

It was a result that has left Jaissle's side sitting 12th in the Premier League table after four games, while the Whites are up to third, just behind Arsenal and Manchester City.

Newcastle have only beaten Tottenham Hotspur so far, but with an upcoming fixture against Hull City, the new squad really must prove itself.

Supporters were already concerned about the potential for relegation before the season kicked off, and some of those voices are reemerging.

Newcastle United predicted for Premier League survival

Draws with Liverpool and Bournemouth had brought some fans onside with the new, untried manager, but very few would have expected the 4-1 defeat at Elland Road.

Their next three games, which includes relegation-bound Coventry City, could be crucial in the context of Newcastle's campaign.

According to Opta's supercomputer, the Magpies are still expected to finish eighth in the Premier League table, with a 13.32 per cent chance of securing Champions League football.

At the opposite end of the table, their chances of relegation stand at just 7.6 per cent, but the alarm bells will not yet be ringing at St James' Park.

Before the campaign kicked off, the supercomputer still expected Newcastle to finish sixth, but they have slipped down the pecking order.

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Is Matthias Jaissle under pressure at St James' Park?

After the trip to Elland Road, supporters are bound to be crying out for the manager to be sacked. That is simply part and parcel of football.

However, one major bookmaker would suggest that the 38-year-old has very few chances of being the next Premier League manager relieved from his post.

Fulham's Alvaro Arbeloa is currently the favourite at 5/2, with Frank Lampard priced at 13/2 to be sacked at Coventry City after yet another defeat.

Jaissle, on the other hand, is 20/1 to be the next Premier League manager to leave the division. Fans just need to remain patient.

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