It’s the North London Derby and Paul Robinson thinks that Spurs can avoid defeat against an Arsenal side who have lost two of their last three games.
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Arsenal v Tottenham
Sunday November 08, 16:00 GMT
Live on Sky Sports 1
Arsenal
It’s been a rollercoaster couple of weeks for the Gunners as they won their two league matches against Everton and Swansea, but suffered embarrassing defeats to Sheffield Wednesday and Bayern Munich in the Capital One Cup and Champions League respectively.
So with that being said, they will be delighted to be back in Premier League action this weekend, however their task is far from easy. Not only are they facing their local rivals, they are having to face them with a pretty long injury list.
Theo Walcott and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain remain sidelined, and you can now add the impressive Hector Bellerin to that list. The midfield area concerns me for the hosts as it looks pretty lightweight with all the missing players.
Nevertheless, Arsene Wenger’s side are still level on points with Man City at the top of the table, and they could go into the game knowing that a win would move them into first place, if City slip up at Villa Park in the earlier kick off.
Tottenham
Spurs had a better time of things in midweek as they beat Anderlecht at the Lane on Thursday night – which also landed us our midweek multi for the second consecutive week.
That makes it three wins in a row in all competitions for Tottenham and they will fancy their chances of recording their first win at the Emirates since 2010. They’ve already won twice on the road this year and the only game they lost came at Old Trafford on the opening day of the season – a match they were unlucky to lose.
The most pleasing thing for manager Mauricio Pochettino will be the resurgence of Harry Kane in front of goal. He hadn’t been playing badly, but the onus is on him to put the ball in the net and, after a barren run, the England man has scored five times in three outings.
Injury wise there are no new concerns for Pochettino, but Danny Rose remains a doubt following the minor leg injury he picked up against Villa. Heung Min-Son was back in the squad for the Europa League fixture
Match Odds
Arsenal 1.73 Tottenham 5.20 The Draw 4.30
The hosts are the warm favourites here but I think they can be opposed at the prices. It’s hard to just brush off a 5-1 defeat – no matter the opposition – and they have a whole host of players not available to them.
Their record at the Emirates this season isn’t exactly mind blowing either. They have played five times in the league, won three, drawn one and lost one.
Spurs have proven to be one of the hardest teams to beat this year as it’s just themselves and Leicester who have only lost once. Since their defeat at Old Trafford on August 8th, their run of results in the league has been DDDWWWDDWW.
It’s been two draws and two wins on their travels and last time out away from home, they thrashed Bournemouth by five goals to one.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals 1.67 Under 2.5 Goals 2.46
The North London Derby has historically been a bit of a goal-fest but I’m not so sure this time around.
Arsenal have had five of their 11 fixtures finish with two goals or fewer and three of those have come from five home games. With Theo Walcott out, they only really have Olivier Giroud as a main striker, and while Alexis Sanchez is one of the best players in the world, he has played a lot of football in the last couple of months and his level has dropped since the last international break.
The stats are even more in our favour when it comes to Tottenham as half a dozen of their 11 outings have rewarded under 2.5 backers. Half of those came on their travels and, with only nine goals conceded, there are just two teams who have a better defensive record – one of them being Arsenal.
Cash Out
Cashing out is fast becoming a more and more popular tool and if you’re of that persuasion then I wouldn’t put you off taking an early position on a 1-1 correct scoreline.
I expect a very close fought encounter without many goals. I really can’t see either team getting more than one goal ahead at any point, which means that the current price of 9.60 for 1-1, should trade much shorter in-play.
Recommended Bets
Lay Arsenal @ 1.74
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 2.46
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