
Liverpool v Bournemouth: Incredible price on eighth 1-1 draw in ten
If trophies were awarded for prolificacy at obtaining 1-1 draws, Liverpool would be quadruple candidates…
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Liverpool 1.50 v Bournemouth 7.80; The Draw 4.70
Wednesday, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports 1
Liverpool
Jurgen Klopp’s start at Liverpool certainly hasn’t lived up to the hype – which in fairness was so wild that even three wins probably wouldn’t have done it justice – with three successive draws meaning that he has collected fewer points than Brendan Rodgers’ managed in his final three fixtures (five).
It will probably prove beneficial long term to have cooled unrealistic expectations, but the necessity to get a victory on board forces them to treat this Capital One Cup fourth-round assignment more seriously than might be ideal two-and-a-half days before a televised Premier League trip to Chelsea.
Their squad is being stretched somewhat by injuries to the likes of captain Jordan Henderson and best striker Daniel Sturridge. Joe Gomez, Jon Flanagan and Danny Ings are out for a lengthy period, while Jordan Rossiter has been sidelined and James Milner now has a rather timely one-match ban.
Bournemouth
How many long-term injuries does it take to derail a new Premier League team? Bournemouth’s experiences suggest that the not-so-magic number is five.
They were just about surviving without Harry Arter, Tyrone Mings, Max Gradel and Tommy Elphick, but the loss of their top goalscorer Callum Wilson on top of all of those was perhaps one too many, with a 1-1 home draw against Watford and 5-1 defeats to Manchester City and Tottenham following.
On the plus side, 2014/15 PFA fans’ Championship player of the year Arter has an outside chance of making his first appearance since promotion at Anfield, while Lee Tomlin also has a shot at returning from the illness that ruled him out of the Tottenham clash.
Match Odds
There is no point pretending otherwise: Liverpool are not an enticing back bet at 1.50. They only won the previous Merseyside meeting between these clubs in August due to two controversial decisions and are in worse form now than they were then.
Since beating the Cherries in August, the Reds have mustered a single win from 12 encounters and that was a relatively glory-free 3-2 success against Aston Villa in September, since when they have played five times without celebrating.
Two further trends to encourage prospective Liverpool layers are the fact that they have prevailed in 90 minutes in one of their last eight Capital One Cup home ties and Bournemouth’s four-game run without an away loss in the competition over the past two years, triumphing in 90 minutes three times.
Both Teams to Score
Bournemouth may have been shut out on their first Premier League road trip in August, but they have played ten times since without firing a blank, so should be able to find gaps at the second attempt in a Liverpool defence that has competed seven times at home since without a clean sheet.
Both teams have scored in Eddie Howe’s men’s last five matches and four in a row on their travels. This bet has also paid out in nine of Liverpool’s latest ten contests, including six on the spin as hosts.
Correct Score
An enormous seven of Liverpool’s most recent nine games have finished 1-1, including three in a row at Anfield. When you stack on top of that three of their past four Capital One Cup fixtures in front of their fans delivering the same scoreline, 10.00 has to be considered a glorious price on another.
Recommended Bets:
Back both teams to score @ 1.93
Back the 1-1 draw @ 10.00
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